Unexpectedly Intriguing!
24 March 2014

Following Janet Yellen's comments at the press conference following her first testimony before Congress since becoming the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, to which investors responded by focusing tightly upon the future defined by the expectations associated with 2014-Q3 in setting today's stock prices, we didn't have long to wait for noise to re-emerge as a factor affecting how stock prices behave.

We can see that in our echo-filtered alternative futures chart - instead of rising on Friday, the S&P 500 fell slightly instead:

Alternative Futures for S&P 500, with Echo Effect, 2 January 2014 through 21 March 2014

What was interesting during the day is that investors tried to boost stock prices as our chart would suggest, as the S&P 500 set an all-time record intraday high of 1883, just four points lower than the midpoint target range for an investor focus on 2014-Q3 shown on the chart.

Alas, after 11:35 AM EDT, noise began to increase in volume, as 21 March 2014 was also a quadruple witching day, where the expiration of a number of individual and index stock futures and options contracts can make for volatile trading sessions. The S&P 500 went on to close at 1866.62 for the day.

As for what to expect next, well, we've already covered what our hypothesis suggests would likely happen, haven't we?

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